tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5375225817278453406.post2247484872003995030..comments2008-10-05T15:30:16.536-04:00JDnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5375225817278453406.post-44648766062788047962008-10-05T15:30:00.000-04:002008-10-05T15:30:00.000-04:00You may be right, but I just don't see how Davis is going to turn it around in eight months. I'd like to see good polling data from this district, though.ARhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01160908302784847352noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5375225817278453406.post-3733399546816114222008-10-05T15:07:00.000-04:002008-10-05T15:07:00.000-04:00On your Childers-Davis race. Some extra info to consider:<BR/><BR/>-KKK ads brought the May 13 electorate up to Obama-effect levels. 26% of the pop. was close to 40% of the electorate. Pub voters will make up a larger % of the electorate.<BR/><BR/>-Childers ran a push poll that didn't include the whole district and he's released it as legit. Word is his internal polls show it much differently and he did this try and harm Davis on his fundraising gains. Davis did not release his polls, but word is he has a stat. tie in his.<BR/><BR/>-Davis has ran a below-radar, grassroots campaign this time. He's made up lots of ground. And lots of reconciliation from the Spring has taken place.<BR/><BR/>-Childers has lost ground in his home county by meddling in county politics, voting with Pelosi and DC Democrats 85% of the time and a couple other things.<BR/><BR/>-Pres. turnout favors Davis. But also the Wicker race will be pushing 1st District turnout bigtime. Davis benefits again with this.<BR/><BR/>-If this was an open seat, Davis would be the favorite. Only hangover from Spring is his danger. This one has a great chance to slip up on a lot of people. But privately Childers knows he's in great risk. Pundits are missing the Davis progress for a variety of reasons. If any conservative wants conservative representation, a little help to Davis could be that last little ooomph that gets him across the line.nemsbloggerhttp://nemsblogger.livejournal.com/noreply@blogger.com