tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5375225817278453406.post4784678879503920549..comments2008-10-06T19:15:27.950-04:00JDnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5375225817278453406.post-11345181807471947962008-10-06T19:15:27.950-04:002008-10-06T19:15:27.950-04:00Let me put it this way, anoymous.<BR/><BR/>The district is not a good one for Democrats, so all else equal, it would go pretty Republican. This is especially true when the GOP nominated a moderate like Jenkins, as opposed to Ryun. To have the race where it is credits Boyda. Because the GOP trails in enthusiasm and manpower, it gives Boyda a great chance to win, as reflected by my giving her the advantage.<BR/><BR/>Tier I means that if the election were today, either side could win. I think Boyda is the favorite, but I can't count Jenkins to that standard.ARhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01160908302784847352noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5375225817278453406.post-6327810145894558382008-10-06T12:02:31.983-04:002008-10-06T12:02:31.983-04:00nothing on the ground makes it feel like the KS-02 is a toss up. I know the numbers (this is an R+7 district) make it seem like Boyda is inordinately vulnerable, but that's not at all the case. if anything the republican is trailing badly in both enthusiasm and manpower.<BR/><BR/>no proof, of course, but colloquial wisdom provides something, right?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com